Holding NIA's 'AI agents' prediction against six months of reality. The multi-agent standards converged faster than predicted (🔵); the digital employee arrived as a noun but shed the adjective 'autonomous' (🟢). ROI failure rates and the governance gap were nowhere in the forecast (⚪).
The canvas commoditizes, but the builder market explodes. What ends is not the builder - it's the premise that the canvas is where value lives.
CC internal Memory System (4-type persistent memory, Auto-Dream, Auto-Compact) vs independently built 3-layer system (documents→index→semantic search). validate_placement() is the differentiator CC doesn't have.
Holding NIA's 'AI agents' prediction against six months of reality. The multi-agent standards converged faster than predicted (🔵); the digital employee arrived as a noun but shed the adjective 'autonomous' (🟢). ROI failure rates and the governance gap were nowhere in the forecast (⚪).
The canvas commoditizes, but the builder market explodes. What ends is not the builder - it's the premise that the canvas is where value lives.
CC internal Memory System (4-type persistent memory, Auto-Dream, Auto-Compact) vs independently built 3-layer system (documents→index→semantic search). validate_placement() is the differentiator CC doesn't have.
52 built-in tools' common interface, 10-step execution pipeline, safe=parallel/unsafe=sequential concurrency model, 5-stage permission pipeline, and 888KB Tree-sitter 23-step bash security.
Ralph Loop solved context rot but remains prompt-bound. This post maps the trajectory from ALAS autonomous parameter updates to Self-Evolving Agent loops, Multi-Agent Swarms with World Models, Korea's Ralphathon results (100K LOC, 70% tests, zero human keystrokes), and the concrete shift in developer roles from implementation to specification and verification.